Strategy in the Age of AI

Reassess Your Moat: AI Is Changing the Logic of Advantage

Your company’s moat may still be real. But AI may have lowered the water level around it.

Customer Expectations Industry Economics Operating Models Competitor Capabilities Durability of the Moat

A blue architectural island sits within a split-depth moat, with exposed shallow steps on one side and a deep blue channel on the other.

Every company relies on some explanation for why customers choose it and why competitors cannot easily reproduce that value. The explanation might rest on specialized expertise, scarce talent, proprietary workflows, trusted relationships, established distribution, brand authority or operating scale.

Advantages like these can last a long time. They do not last forever.

AI is changing the cost and speed of analysis and execution. It puts some kinds of expertise within easy reach, makes complex workflows easier to automate, and lets smaller companies do work that once took larger teams, more capital, or years of process maturity.

So the issue for leaders is no longer whether AI matters. It is whether the source of their company's advantage is still defensible.

Some moats will shrink

Take an organization whose value rests largely on access to specialized knowledge. If customers can get competent answers, analysis, drafts or recommendations from a model, scarcity stops supporting the same premium.

Or a business with a complex internal workflow that competitors once found hard to reproduce. If AI helps a new entrant automate most of that workflow, the complexity stops protecting anyone.

Or a company whose scale gave it a cost advantage, because it could afford bigger teams to produce content, serve customers, do research or build software. Smaller competitors can now deliver comparable output with far less overhead.

None of this means the incumbent automatically loses. It does mean yesterday's advantage can become tomorrow's table stakes.

Some moats can deepen

AI can also strengthen advantages that are hard to buy or copy.

Trusted customer relationships matter more when customers need help interpreting AI-generated options, managing risk and making consequential decisions. Proprietary, high-quality data becomes more valuable when it improves a product or service that runs on AI. Distribution, reputation and domain judgment compound when they are connected to a redesigned offering.

Redesigned is the operative word.

An incumbent that bolts AI onto an existing service will gain some efficiency. One that uses AI to rethink the customer experience, the delivery model and the economics can create a new source of differentiation.

Ask the uncomfortable questions

Leadership teams should examine their moat with unusual honesty:

  • Which parts of our advantage depend on expertise, information, workflow complexity or scale that AI could make widely available?
  • Which customer problems could we solve far better if AI changed our product, service or economics?
  • Which of our assets (data, trust, distribution, domain knowledge, ecosystem position) become more valuable in a market where AI is everywhere?
  • If a well-funded startup built our company today, assuming AI from day one, what would it do differently?
  • What should we stop doing because AI has made it less distinctive, less valuable, or too expensive?

These are questions about the company's future right to win. Technology is only part of the answer.

The moat is a moving target

The companies that do well in the AI era will not necessarily be the ones with the most pilots, the biggest software budget or the loudest AI messaging.

They will be the ones that treat their moat as a position to renew as the market moves, rather than an asset to defend.

AI is more than a tool for making the existing business more efficient. It is shifting customer expectations, industry economics, operating models and competitor capabilities, and with them, the durability of the moat your company relies on today.

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